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Apr 4, 2012

Junaman Emas pada 3-Apr-2012

3-April-2012
PRECIOUS-Gold falls 2 pct after Fed dashes QE3 hopes
By Frank Tang and Michelle Martin
NEW YORK/LONDON, April 3 (Reuters) - Gold fell 2 percent on
Tuesday for its biggest one-day drop in a month, tumbling
suddenly after the Federal Reserve released minutes of its March
meeting, suggesting to investors that policy makers were growing
less eager to launch additional monetary stimulus measures.
Bullion was already lower before the Fed released minutes of
its most recent policy meeting, which suggested that officials
of the U.S. central bank were not ready to start a third round
of government bond buying, or quantitative easing, known as QE3.
"The Fed has distanced itself from QE3. It's in line with
what Bernanke said in February, but nonetheless it's enough to
reduce the near-term bullish momentum," said James Steel, chief
commodity analyst at HSBC.
Gold has now fallen below its levels in late January when
the Fed said it would keep interest rates near zero until at
least late 2014 and investors believed more easing was likely.
Spot gold was down 2 percent at $1,643.60 an ounce by
3:24 p.m. EST (1924 GMT). It had gained as much as 2 percent in
the two previous sessions.
Prior to the Fed minutes, U.S. gold futures for June
delivery settled down $7.70 an ounce at $1,672.
Trading volume rose after the Fed minutes but still was
below normal for a third straight day.
George Nickas, a precious metals broker at commodities firm
INTL FCStone, said increased trading activity would be unlikely
until gold can break out of a recent trading range between
$1,630 and $1,700 an ounce.
In earlier trade, funds appeared uninterested in the gold
trade as U.S. economic data for factory goods orders and auto
sales pointed to a strengthening economic outlook.
In the minutes of the Fed's March meeting, policymakers
noted signs of slightly stronger economic growth but remained
cautious about a broad pick up in U.S. activity, focusing on a
still-elevated jobless rate.
"It's fair to say the Fed remains conscious about the
recovery, so perhaps this sell-off is overdone," said HSBC's
Steel.
However, the minutes suggest the appetite for another dose
of quantitative easing, so-called QE3, has waned significantly.
QE HOPES, INDIA STRIKE
Ultra-loose monetary policy helped send gold to record highs
in 2011. But gold's climb stalled as a recent raft of
firmer-than-expected U.S. economic data curbed expectations for
a third round of quantitative easing.
Prices have fallen around 8 percent since expectations for
more Fed asset-buying pushed gold to $1,790 at the end of
February, its highest price since November.
"The gold market has recently been very sensitive to Fed
statements, so it is likely to react to the news," BNP Paribas
analyst Anne-Laure Tremblay said. "The apparent absence of
physical demand, notably with the strike of Indian jewelers, has
been weighing on prices."
Gold demand from India, the world's biggest buyer of
bullion, remained sluggish as the prolonged strike by jewelers
to protest excise taxes levied in the budget continued into a
third week.
Surging car sales, however, kept industrial precious metals
such as platinum, palladium and silver from falling further.
U.S. auto sales rose more than 15 percent in March as rising
consumer confidence quickened the pace of a sluggish recovery.
Spot silver was down 1.2 percent at $32.58 an ounce,
spot platinum eased 0.4 percent at $1,638.24 an ounce,
and spot palladium inched down 0.2 percent at $648.85 an
ounce.
3:24 PM EDT LAST/ NET PCT LOW HIGH CURRENT
SETTLE CHNG CHNG VOL
US Gold JUN 1672.00 -7.70 -0.5 1640.20 1682.70 140,552
US Silver MAY 33.265 0.167 0.5 32.465 33.295 42,255
US Plat JUL 1660.50 5.60 0.3 1642.00 1671.00 5,400
US Pall JUN 659.60 0.80 0.1 651.50 664.20 2,024
Gold 1643.60 -33.65 -2.0 1639.70 1680.66
Silver 32.580 -0.380 -1.2 32.500 33.270
Platinum 1638.24 -6.09 -0.4 1643.30 1663.74
Palladium 648.85 -1.53 -0.2 653.03 661.25
TOTAL MARKET VOLUME 30-D ATM VOLATILITY
CURRENT 30D AVG 250D AVG CURRENT CHG
US Gold 152,903 204,770 197,139 18.19 1.09
US Silver 49,168 63,280 60,471 27.93 -0.15
US Platinum 5,507 11,159 8,412 19.92 0.05
US Palladium 2,034 5,163 4,685

Mar 26, 2012

Ramalan Harga Emas Minggu 26-Mar

Ramalan Harga Emas Minggu 26-Mar

Emas dijangka melantun minggu ni, menuju USD1700.
Bersedia untuk menjual dan mengambil untung jangka pendek.

Mar 22, 2012

Asia's physical market was muted

Asia's physical market was muted, with the narrow price range drying up interest from both buyers and sellers, traders said. The lackluster China data also fanned concerns about China's retail gold appetite.

"People are concerned about China's economic growth. If growth slows down and inflation eases, people may choose not to buy gold," said a Hong Kong-based gold dealer.

"We have been range bound for a while and people are looking at the possibility of breaking lower rather than higher."

Gold has been stuck in a range between roughly $1,635 to $1,670 over the past week.

In India, the world's largest gold consumer, jewelers were closed for a fifth day on Wednesday in protest against an import duty hike on bullion.

source: kitco

Mar 19, 2012

Ramalan Harga Emas Minggu 19-Mar

Ramalan Harga Emas Minggu 19-Mar

Hanya 42% penganalisa berpendapat minggu ni emas akan naik, kekuatan dollar menyebabkan harga emas tidak menentu. Harga emas dijangkakan berlegar antara USD1600 to USD1760.
Minggu ni memang sesuai untuk memborong.

Mar 12, 2012

Ramalan Harga Emas Minggu 12-Mar

Ramalan Harga Emas Minggu 12-Mar

Segelintir penganalisa sahaja menjangkan emas akan naik minggu ni. Ini berdasarkan kepada momentum pola harga yang menaik minggu lepas.

Mar 5, 2012

Ramalan Harga Emas Minggu 06-Mar

Ramalan Harga Emas Minggu 06-Mar

Kebanyakkan penganalisa 63% meramalkan emas naik minggu ni. Support level USD1680.
Sesuai untuk menambah stock.

Mar 2, 2012

Ribut emas di hari rabu

Rabu - Khamis pagi waktu malaysia.

Kitco:
NEW YORK (TheStreet ) -- Gold prices were recovering Thursday after Wednesday's swoon resulted in the worst single-session loss in three years.
Gold for April delivery was rising $6.40 to $1,717.70 an ounce at the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. The gold price traded as high as $1,726.40 and as low as $1,695.10 an ounce, while the spot price was gaining $19.80, according to Kitco's gold index.
Silver prices were gaining 39 cents to $35.04 an ounce while the U.S. dollar index was falling 0.05% at $78.779.
"The massacre was attributed to a host of different reasons -- from month end book squaring, to the positive PMI numbers to Bernanke's suggestion that ultra loose monetary policies may soon come to an end," read a report from bullion dealer GoldCore. "None of these reasons would justify the scale of the massive sell offs seen in gold and silver yesterday. Gold and silver markets saw massive sell orders from large institutional sources -- as only large institutions selling could have caused a price falls of the magnitude seen yesterday. There were highly speculative unsourced rumors of an Asian fund selling gold and rumors of a single bullion sale of 31 tonnes or some 1 million ounces by an unnamed seller."