Apr 4, 2012
Junaman Emas pada 3-Apr-2012
PRECIOUS-Gold falls 2 pct after Fed dashes QE3 hopes
By Frank Tang and Michelle Martin
NEW YORK/LONDON, April 3 (Reuters) - Gold fell 2 percent on
Tuesday for its biggest one-day drop in a month, tumbling
suddenly after the Federal Reserve released minutes of its March
meeting, suggesting to investors that policy makers were growing
less eager to launch additional monetary stimulus measures.
Bullion was already lower before the Fed released minutes of
its most recent policy meeting, which suggested that officials
of the U.S. central bank were not ready to start a third round
of government bond buying, or quantitative easing, known as QE3.
"The Fed has distanced itself from QE3. It's in line with
what Bernanke said in February, but nonetheless it's enough to
reduce the near-term bullish momentum," said James Steel, chief
commodity analyst at HSBC.
Gold has now fallen below its levels in late January when
the Fed said it would keep interest rates near zero until at
least late 2014 and investors believed more easing was likely.
Spot gold was down 2 percent at $1,643.60 an ounce by
3:24 p.m. EST (1924 GMT). It had gained as much as 2 percent in
the two previous sessions.
Prior to the Fed minutes, U.S. gold futures for June
delivery settled down $7.70 an ounce at $1,672.
Trading volume rose after the Fed minutes but still was
below normal for a third straight day.
George Nickas, a precious metals broker at commodities firm
INTL FCStone, said increased trading activity would be unlikely
until gold can break out of a recent trading range between
$1,630 and $1,700 an ounce.
In earlier trade, funds appeared uninterested in the gold
trade as U.S. economic data for factory goods orders and auto
sales pointed to a strengthening economic outlook.
In the minutes of the Fed's March meeting, policymakers
noted signs of slightly stronger economic growth but remained
cautious about a broad pick up in U.S. activity, focusing on a
still-elevated jobless rate.
"It's fair to say the Fed remains conscious about the
recovery, so perhaps this sell-off is overdone," said HSBC's
However, the minutes suggest the appetite for another dose
of quantitative easing, so-called QE3, has waned significantly.
QE HOPES, INDIA STRIKE
Ultra-loose monetary policy helped send gold to record highs
in 2011. But gold's climb stalled as a recent raft of
firmer-than-expected U.S. economic data curbed expectations for
a third round of quantitative easing.
Prices have fallen around 8 percent since expectations for
more Fed asset-buying pushed gold to $1,790 at the end of
February, its highest price since November.
"The gold market has recently been very sensitive to Fed
statements, so it is likely to react to the news," BNP Paribas
analyst Anne-Laure Tremblay said. "The apparent absence of
physical demand, notably with the strike of Indian jewelers, has
been weighing on prices."
Gold demand from India, the world's biggest buyer of
bullion, remained sluggish as the prolonged strike by jewelers
to protest excise taxes levied in the budget continued into a
Surging car sales, however, kept industrial precious metals
such as platinum, palladium and silver from falling further.
U.S. auto sales rose more than 15 percent in March as rising
consumer confidence quickened the pace of a sluggish recovery.
Spot silver was down 1.2 percent at $32.58 an ounce,
spot platinum eased 0.4 percent at $1,638.24 an ounce,
and spot palladium inched down 0.2 percent at $648.85 an
3:24 PM EDT LAST/ NET PCT LOW HIGH CURRENT
SETTLE CHNG CHNG VOL
US Gold JUN 1672.00 -7.70 -0.5 1640.20 1682.70 140,552
US Silver MAY 33.265 0.167 0.5 32.465 33.295 42,255
US Plat JUL 1660.50 5.60 0.3 1642.00 1671.00 5,400
US Pall JUN 659.60 0.80 0.1 651.50 664.20 2,024
Gold 1643.60 -33.65 -2.0 1639.70 1680.66
Silver 32.580 -0.380 -1.2 32.500 33.270
Platinum 1638.24 -6.09 -0.4 1643.30 1663.74
Palladium 648.85 -1.53 -0.2 653.03 661.25
TOTAL MARKET VOLUME 30-D ATM VOLATILITY
CURRENT 30D AVG 250D AVG CURRENT CHG
US Gold 152,903 204,770 197,139 18.19 1.09
US Silver 49,168 63,280 60,471 27.93 -0.15
US Platinum 5,507 11,159 8,412 19.92 0.05
US Palladium 2,034 5,163 4,685